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The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver. |
| Authors: | Silver, Nate, 1978- |
| Call number: | 519.542 SIL |
| Publisher: | New York : Penguin Press, 2012. |
| Publication date: | 2012. |
| Subject: |
Forecasting.
Forecasting -- Methodology. Forecasting -- History. Bayesian statistical decision theory. Knowledge, Theory of. |
| Title: | The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver. |
| Physical description: | 534 p. : ill. ; 25 cm. |
| Contents note: | A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you. |
| Summary note: | Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction. |
| Biography note: | Includes bibliographical references and index. |
| ISBN: | 9781594204111 (hbk.) 159420411X (hbk.) |
| LCCN: | 2012027308 |
| Url for this record: | http://sherloc.imcpl.org/?itemid=|library/marc/dynix|1392305 |
| Bib No.: | 1392305 |
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| Central Library | Nonfiction, Adult | 519.542 SIL | Checked out |
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