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The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver.

Authors: Silver, Nate, 1978-
Call number: 519.542 SIL
Publisher: New York : Penguin Press, 2012.
Publication date: 2012.
Subject: Forecasting.
Forecasting -- Methodology.
Forecasting -- History.
Bayesian statistical decision theory.
Knowledge, Theory of.
Title: The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver.
Physical description: 534 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.
Contents note: A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.
Summary note: Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.
Biography note: Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN: 9781594204111 (hbk.)
159420411X (hbk.)
LCCN: 2012027308
Url for this record: http://sherloc.imcpl.org/?itemid=|library/marc/dynix|1392305
Bib No.: 1392305

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